Recommendation: NO
Current Price: $17.72
Total Wheels: 14
EditTypically you want to choose options that have a higher than 70% chance of being out of the money, since then you only have a 30% chance of actually acquiring the stock. Beyond that maximumizing the annualized rate of return is a good idea.
Annualized rate of return is computed fairly bullish as (max_return * odds + (1 - odds)) ^ (252 / calendar_days). This assumes that if you accidently acquire the stock you will be able to do something such that effectively get you a 1x return immediately.
| Ticker | Strike | Premium | Ticker Price | Calendar Days To Expiration | Odds Out Of The Money % | Maximum Return % | Annualized Rate Of Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPEV | 17.5 | 0.59 | 17.72 | 10 (2026-02-20) | 57.09% | 3.37% | 1.62x |
| XPEV | 17.5 | 0.77 | 17.72 | 15 (2026-02-27) | 56.59% | 4.40% | 1.51x |
| XPEV | 17.0 | 0.95 | 17.72 | 30 (2026-03-20) | 62.56% | 5.59% | 1.33x |
| XPEV | 17.0 | 1.34 | 17.72 | 50 (2026-04-17) | 61.70% | 7.88% | 1.27x |
| XPEV | 16.0 | 0.92 | 17.72 | 50 (2026-04-17) | 70.67% | 5.75% | 1.22x |
| XPEV | 15.0 | 0.36 | 17.72 | 30 (2026-03-20) | 82.69% | 2.40% | 1.18x |
| XPEV | 15.0 | 0.61 | 17.72 | 50 (2026-04-17) | 78.65% | 4.07% | 1.17x |
| XPEV | 15.0 | 1.09 | 17.72 | 94 (2026-06-18) | 74.80% | 7.27% | 1.15x |
| XPEV | 14.0 | 0.92 | 17.72 | 115 (2026-07-17) | 79.59% | 6.57% | 1.12x |
| XPEV | 12.0 | 0.13 | 17.72 | 30 (2026-03-20) | 94.38% | 1.08% | 1.09x |
| XPEV | 13.0 | 0.13 | 17.72 | 30 (2026-03-20) | 93.30% | 1.00% | 1.08x |
| XPEV | 10.0 | 0.07 | 17.72 | 50 (2026-04-17) | 97.29% | 0.70% | 1.03x |