Recommendation: NO
Current Price: $19.17
Total Wheels: 14
EditTypically you want to choose options that have a higher than 70% chance of being out of the money, since then you only have a 30% chance of actually acquiring the stock. Beyond that maximumizing the annualized rate of return is a good idea.
Annualized rate of return is computed fairly bullish as (max_return * odds + (1 - odds)) ^ (252 / calendar_days). This assumes that if you accidently acquire the stock you will be able to do something such that effectively get you a 1x return immediately.
Ticker | Strike | Premium | Ticker Price | Calendar Days To Expiration | Odds Out Of The Money % | Maximum Return % | Annualized Rate Of Return |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XPEV | 19.0 | 0.4 | 19.17 | 4 (2025-06-27) | 56.77% | 2.11% | 1.82x |
XPEV | 19.0 | 0.61 | 19.17 | 8 (2025-07-03) | 55.79% | 3.21% | 1.75x |
XPEV | 18.5 | 0.27 | 19.17 | 4 (2025-06-27) | 70.35% | 1.46% | 1.67x |
XPEV | 18.5 | 0.44 | 19.17 | 8 (2025-07-03) | 66.20% | 2.38% | 1.64x |
XPEV | 19.0 | 0.82 | 19.17 | 14 (2025-07-11) | 55.47% | 4.32% | 1.53x |
XPEV | 18.5 | 0.64 | 19.17 | 14 (2025-07-11) | 63.67% | 3.46% | 1.48x |
XPEV | 19.0 | 1.01 | 19.17 | 19 (2025-07-18) | 55.47% | 5.32% | 1.47x |
XPEV | 19.0 | 1.26 | 19.17 | 24 (2025-07-25) | 55.67% | 6.63% | 1.46x |
XPEV | 18.0 | 0.65 | 19.17 | 19 (2025-07-18) | 68.70% | 3.61% | 1.38x |
XPEV | 18.0 | 0.77 | 19.17 | 24 (2025-07-25) | 67.53% | 4.28% | 1.35x |
XPEV | 19.0 | 1.59 | 19.17 | 39 (2025-08-15) | 56.19% | 8.37% | 1.35x |
XPEV | 18.0 | 0.11 | 19.17 | 4 (2025-06-27) | 84.06% | 0.61% | 1.29x |
XPEV | 16.5 | 0.51 | 19.17 | 24 (2025-07-25) | 79.53% | 3.09% | 1.29x |
XPEV | 17.5 | 0.15 | 19.17 | 8 (2025-07-03) | 84.59% | 0.86% | 1.26x |
XPEV | 18.0 | 1.63 | 19.17 | 64 (2025-09-19) E | 64.31% | 9.06% | 1.25x |
XPEV | 17.0 | 0.76 | 19.17 | 39 (2025-08-15) | 74.15% | 4.47% | 1.23x |
XPEV | 17.0 | 1.28 | 19.17 | 64 (2025-09-19) E | 70.88% | 7.53% | 1.23x |
XPEV | 17.0 | 0.32 | 19.17 | 19 (2025-07-18) | 81.13% | 1.88% | 1.22x |
XPEV | 16.0 | 0.18 | 19.17 | 14 (2025-07-11) | 88.64% | 1.12% | 1.20x |
XPEV | 16.0 | 0.94 | 19.17 | 64 (2025-09-19) E | 77.03% | 5.87% | 1.19x |
XPEV | 17.0 | 2.47 | 19.17 | 149 (2026-01-16) E | 69.09% | 14.53% | 1.18x |
XPEV | 15.0 | 1.04 | 19.17 | 84 (2025-10-17) E | 79.71% | 6.93% | 1.18x |
XPEV | 19.0 | 3.15 | 19.17 | 149 (2026-01-16) E | 59.75% | 16.58% | 1.17x |
XPEV | 17.5 | 0.06 | 19.17 | 4 (2025-06-27) | 91.11% | 0.34% | 1.17x |
XPEV | 16.0 | 0.47 | 19.17 | 39 (2025-08-15) | 82.01% | 2.94% | 1.17x |
XPEV | 18.0 | 2.58 | 19.17 | 149 (2026-01-16) E | 64.47% | 14.33% | 1.16x |
XPEV | 16.5 | 0.15 | 19.17 | 14 (2025-07-11) | 88.60% | 0.91% | 1.16x |
XPEV | 15.0 | 0.58 | 19.17 | 64 (2025-09-19) E | 83.57% | 3.87% | 1.13x |
XPEV | 14.0 | 0.51 | 19.17 | 64 (2025-09-19) E | 86.65% | 3.64% | 1.13x |
XPEV | 15.0 | 1.32 | 19.17 | 149 (2026-01-16) E | 78.40% | 8.80% | 1.12x |
XPEV | 16.0 | 0.15 | 19.17 | 19 (2025-07-18) | 89.84% | 0.94% | 1.12x |
XPEV | 15.0 | 0.27 | 19.17 | 39 (2025-08-15) | 88.50% | 1.80% | 1.11x |
XPEV | 13.0 | 0.09 | 19.17 | 19 (2025-07-18) | 95.63% | 0.69% | 1.09x |
XPEV | 17.0 | 0.03 | 19.17 | 4 (2025-06-27) | 95.26% | 0.18% | 1.09x |
XPEV | 11.0 | 0.24 | 19.17 | 84 (2025-10-17) E | 94.05% | 2.18% | 1.06x |
XPEV | 15.0 | 0.07 | 19.17 | 19 (2025-07-18) | 94.66% | 0.47% | 1.06x |
XPEV | 10.0 | 0.34 | 19.17 | 149 (2026-01-16) E | 93.62% | 3.40% | 1.05x |
XPEV | 14.0 | 0.05 | 19.17 | 19 (2025-07-18) | 96.82% | 0.36% | 1.05x |
XPEV | 16.5 | 0.01 | 19.17 | 4 (2025-06-27) | 98.11% | 0.06% | 1.03x |