Recommendation: NO
Current Price: $12.06
Total Wheels: 14
EditTypically you want to choose options that have a higher than 70% chance of being out of the money, since then you only have a 30% chance of actually acquiring the stock. Beyond that maximumizing the annualized rate of return is a good idea.
Annualized rate of return is computed fairly bullish as (max_return * odds + (1 - odds)) ^ (252 / calendar_days). This assumes that if you accidently acquire the stock you will be able to do something such that effectively get you a 1x return immediately.
| Ticker | Strike | Premium | Ticker Price | Calendar Days To Expiration | Odds Out Of The Money % | Maximum Return % | Annualized Rate Of Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPEV | 12.0 | 0.58 | 12.06 | 15 (2026-07-17) | 54.09% | 4.83% | 1.54x |
| XPEV | 12.0 | 1.31 | 12.06 | 60 (2026-09-18) | 56.46% | 10.92% | 1.29x |
| XPEV | 11.0 | 0.86 | 12.06 | 60 (2026-09-18) | 67.93% | 7.82% | 1.24x |
| XPEV | 11.0 | 0.05 | 12.06 | 4 (2026-07-02) | 88.86% | 0.45% | 1.23x |
| XPEV | 11.0 | 1.0 | 12.06 | 80 (2026-10-16) | 67.35% | 9.09% | 1.21x |
| XPEV | 11.0 | 1.54 | 12.06 | 145 (2027-01-15) | 66.91% | 14.00% | 1.17x |
| XPEV | 10.0 | 0.1 | 12.06 | 15 (2026-07-17) | 89.65% | 1.00% | 1.16x |
| XPEV | 9.0 | 0.74 | 12.06 | 145 (2027-01-15) | 80.85% | 8.22% | 1.12x |
| XPEV | 10.0 | 2.03 | 12.06 | 410 (2028-01-21) | 73.66% | 20.30% | 1.09x |