Recommendation: NO
Current Price: $10.12
Total Wheels: 14
EditTypically you want to choose options that have a higher than 70% chance of being out of the money, since then you only have a 30% chance of actually acquiring the stock. Beyond that maximumizing the annualized rate of return is a good idea.
Annualized rate of return is computed fairly bullish as (max_return * odds + (1 - odds)) ^ (252 / calendar_days). This assumes that if you accidently acquire the stock you will be able to do something such that effectively get you a 1x return immediately.
| Ticker | Strike | Premium | Ticker Price | Calendar Days To Expiration | Odds Out Of The Money % | Maximum Return % | Annualized Rate Of Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPEV | 10.0 | 0.46 | 10.12 | 25 (2026-10-30) | 56.43% | 4.60% | 1.29x |
| XPEV | 9.5 | 0.17 | 10.12 | 15 (2026-10-16) | 74.84% | 1.79% | 1.25x |
| XPEV | 10.0 | 1.05 | 10.12 | 80 (2027-01-15) | 57.57% | 10.50% | 1.20x |
| XPEV | 9.5 | 0.04 | 10.12 | 5 (2026-10-02) | 86.34% | 0.42% | 1.20x |
| XPEV | 9.0 | 0.12 | 10.12 | 20 (2026-10-23) | 83.76% | 1.33% | 1.15x |
| XPEV | 10.0 | 1.29 | 10.12 | 145 (2027-04-16) | 58.63% | 12.90% | 1.14x |
| XPEV | 8.0 | 0.08 | 10.12 | 25 (2026-10-30) | 91.52% | 1.00% | 1.10x |
| XPEV | 5.0 | 0.02 | 10.12 | 80 (2027-01-15) | 98.64% | 0.40% | 1.01x |