Recommendation: NO
Current Price: $19.94
Total Wheels: 14
EditTypically you want to choose options that have a higher than 70% chance of being out of the money, since then you only have a 30% chance of actually acquiring the stock. Beyond that maximumizing the annualized rate of return is a good idea.
Annualized rate of return is computed fairly bullish as (max_return * odds + (1 - odds)) ^ (252 / calendar_days). This assumes that if you accidently acquire the stock you will be able to do something such that effectively get you a 1x return immediately.
| Ticker | Strike | Premium | Ticker Price | Calendar Days To Expiration | Odds Out Of The Money % | Maximum Return % | Annualized Rate Of Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPEV | 19.5 | 0.45 | 19.94 | 4 (2025-05-09) | 62.36% | 2.31% | 2.05x |
| XPEV | 19.5 | 1.27 | 19.94 | 14 (2025-05-23) E | 58.49% | 6.51% | 1.96x |
| XPEV | 19.5 | 0.74 | 19.94 | 9 (2025-05-16) | 59.78% | 3.79% | 1.87x |
| XPEV | 19.0 | 0.56 | 19.94 | 9 (2025-05-16) | 67.47% | 2.95% | 1.74x |
| XPEV | 19.0 | 0.28 | 19.94 | 4 (2025-05-09) | 73.43% | 1.47% | 1.72x |
| XPEV | 19.5 | 1.36 | 19.94 | 19 (2025-05-30) E | 58.48% | 6.97% | 1.70x |
| XPEV | 18.5 | 0.41 | 19.94 | 9 (2025-05-16) | 74.57% | 2.22% | 1.58x |
| XPEV | 18.0 | 0.61 | 19.94 | 14 (2025-05-23) E | 74.42% | 3.39% | 1.57x |
| XPEV | 18.0 | 0.75 | 19.94 | 19 (2025-05-30) E | 72.87% | 4.17% | 1.49x |
| XPEV | 18.5 | 0.17 | 19.94 | 4 (2025-05-09) | 82.05% | 0.92% | 1.46x |
| XPEV | 18.0 | 0.27 | 19.94 | 9 (2025-05-16) | 81.28% | 1.50% | 1.40x |
| XPEV | 17.5 | 0.58 | 19.94 | 19 (2025-05-30) E | 77.45% | 3.31% | 1.40x |
| XPEV | 18.0 | 1.15 | 19.94 | 34 (2025-06-20) E | 70.02% | 6.39% | 1.38x |
| XPEV | 17.0 | 1.59 | 19.94 | 54 (2025-07-18) E | 72.89% | 9.35% | 1.36x |
| XPEV | 17.0 | 0.48 | 19.94 | 19 (2025-05-30) E | 80.95% | 2.82% | 1.35x |
| XPEV | 16.5 | 0.31 | 19.94 | 14 (2025-05-23) E | 85.77% | 1.88% | 1.33x |
| XPEV | 17.5 | 0.2 | 19.94 | 9 (2025-05-16) | 87.02% | 1.14% | 1.32x |
| XPEV | 18.0 | 1.56 | 19.94 | 54 (2025-07-18) E | 68.58% | 8.67% | 1.31x |
| XPEV | 17.0 | 0.81 | 19.94 | 34 (2025-06-20) E | 76.96% | 4.76% | 1.31x |
| XPEV | 16.5 | 0.38 | 19.94 | 19 (2025-05-30) E | 84.41% | 2.30% | 1.29x |
| XPEV | 15.5 | 0.15 | 19.94 | 9 (2025-05-16) | 91.95% | 0.97% | 1.28x |
| XPEV | 16.0 | 0.56 | 19.94 | 34 (2025-06-20) E | 82.91% | 3.50% | 1.24x |
| XPEV | 18.0 | 0.08 | 19.94 | 4 (2025-05-09) | 90.21% | 0.44% | 1.22x |
| XPEV | 18.0 | 2.53 | 19.94 | 119 (2025-10-17) E | 67.71% | 14.06% | 1.21x |
| XPEV | 17.0 | 0.13 | 19.94 | 9 (2025-05-16) | 89.93% | 0.76% | 1.21x |
| XPEV | 15.5 | 0.23 | 19.94 | 19 (2025-05-30) E | 89.71% | 1.48% | 1.19x |
| XPEV | 17.5 | 0.06 | 19.94 | 4 (2025-05-09) | 92.87% | 0.34% | 1.17x |
| XPEV | 15.0 | 0.36 | 19.94 | 34 (2025-06-20) E | 88.07% | 2.40% | 1.17x |
| XPEV | 18.0 | 3.14 | 19.94 | 184 (2026-01-16) E | 68.08% | 17.44% | 1.17x |
| XPEV | 14.0 | 1.27 | 19.94 | 119 (2025-10-17) E | 82.72% | 9.07% | 1.17x |
| XPEV | 16.5 | 0.05 | 19.94 | 4 (2025-05-09) | 95.12% | 0.30% | 1.16x |
| XPEV | 17.0 | 0.05 | 19.94 | 4 (2025-05-09) | 94.66% | 0.29% | 1.15x |
| XPEV | 15.0 | 2.01 | 19.94 | 184 (2026-01-16) E | 78.38% | 13.40% | 1.15x |
| XPEV | 16.5 | 0.08 | 19.94 | 9 (2025-05-16) | 93.37% | 0.48% | 1.13x |
| XPEV | 14.0 | 0.43 | 19.94 | 54 (2025-07-18) E | 88.78% | 3.07% | 1.13x |
| XPEV | 13.0 | 0.39 | 19.94 | 54 (2025-07-18) E | 90.68% | 3.00% | 1.13x |
| XPEV | 14.0 | 0.23 | 19.94 | 34 (2025-06-20) E | 92.01% | 1.64% | 1.12x |
| XPEV | 13.0 | 1.13 | 19.94 | 184 (2026-01-16) E | 85.28% | 8.69% | 1.10x |
| XPEV | 16.0 | 0.03 | 19.94 | 4 (2025-05-09) | 96.83% | 0.19% | 1.10x |
| XPEV | 12.0 | 0.58 | 19.94 | 119 (2025-10-17) E | 90.01% | 4.83% | 1.09x |
| XPEV | 15.0 | 0.05 | 19.94 | 9 (2025-05-16) | 96.43% | 0.33% | 1.09x |
| XPEV | 13.0 | 0.16 | 19.94 | 34 (2025-06-20) E | 94.38% | 1.23% | 1.09x |
| XPEV | 11.0 | 0.13 | 19.94 | 34 (2025-06-20) E | 96.20% | 1.18% | 1.09x |
| XPEV | 10.0 | 0.57 | 19.94 | 184 (2026-01-16) E | 92.31% | 5.70% | 1.07x |
| XPEV | 10.0 | 0.09 | 19.94 | 54 (2025-07-18) E | 97.36% | 0.90% | 1.04x |