Recommendation: NO
Current Price: $16.93
Total Wheels: 14
EditTypically you want to choose options that have a higher than 70% chance of being out of the money, since then you only have a 30% chance of actually acquiring the stock. Beyond that maximumizing the annualized rate of return is a good idea.
Annualized rate of return is computed fairly bullish as (max_return * odds + (1 - odds)) ^ (252 / calendar_days). This assumes that if you accidently acquire the stock you will be able to do something such that effectively get you a 1x return immediately.
| Ticker | Strike | Premium | Ticker Price | Calendar Days To Expiration | Odds Out Of The Money % | Maximum Return % | Annualized Rate Of Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPEV | 16.0 | 0.16 | 16.93 | 4 (2026-04-02) | 78.41% | 1.00% | 1.48x |
| XPEV | 16.0 | 0.34 | 16.93 | 10 (2026-04-10) | 71.85% | 2.13% | 1.46x |
| XPEV | 16.0 | 0.47 | 16.93 | 15 (2026-04-17) | 69.18% | 2.94% | 1.40x |
| XPEV | 15.5 | 0.23 | 16.93 | 10 (2026-04-10) | 79.92% | 1.48% | 1.35x |
| XPEV | 16.5 | 0.59 | 16.93 | 20 (2026-04-24) | 61.04% | 3.58% | 1.31x |
| XPEV | 16.0 | 0.86 | 16.93 | 35 (2026-05-15) | 65.25% | 5.37% | 1.28x |
| XPEV | 15.0 | 0.24 | 16.93 | 15 (2026-04-17) | 82.49% | 1.60% | 1.25x |
| XPEV | 16.0 | 1.49 | 16.93 | 80 (2026-07-17) | 63.54% | 9.31% | 1.20x |
| XPEV | 15.0 | 0.49 | 16.93 | 35 (2026-05-15) | 76.64% | 3.27% | 1.19x |
| XPEV | 15.0 | 0.82 | 16.93 | 59 (2026-06-18) | 72.85% | 5.47% | 1.18x |
| XPEV | 14.5 | 0.1 | 16.93 | 10 (2026-04-10) | 89.71% | 0.69% | 1.17x |
| XPEV | 14.0 | 0.12 | 16.93 | 15 (2026-04-17) | 90.50% | 0.86% | 1.14x |
| XPEV | 14.0 | 0.03 | 16.93 | 4 (2026-04-02) | 96.22% | 0.21% | 1.11x |
| XPEV | 13.0 | 0.07 | 16.93 | 15 (2026-04-17) | 94.58% | 0.54% | 1.09x |